Risk configuration

Set the caps the platform enforces on every incoming bet. Per section 4 of the research doc: a bet is rejected when accepting it would push exposure on any single number above any of these caps.

Pool

Pool balance (USDC)

$100,000

α — pool-fraction cap

Worst-case payout per draw ≤ α × pool20.0%

→ max single-draw worst case: $20,000

β — reserve buffer

Reserved = β × Σ(worst-case across open draws)1.10×

Hard cap per draw

Maximum worst-case payout for any single draw (USDC)

$25,000

effective cap = min(α·pool, hard) = $20,000

Platform fee

Cut of every stake (paid to platform)5.0%

With these settings, the platform can support 4 simultaneously open max-loaded draws before the pool is fully reserved.